Wednesday, October 14, 2020

Nisab emas Lembaga Zakat Selangor semenjak Tahun 2000 hingga 2020

Nisab emas iaitu 85 gram emas. Tahun 2000 emas hanya berharga rm 37.65 segram. Tahun 2020 berharga rm217.77 segram.

Info Nisab

BilTahunJumlah
12020RM 18,510.72
22019RM 13,950
32018RM 14,162
42017 (Julai - Disember)RM 14,857
52017 (Jan - Jun)RM 14,546
62016 (Julai - Disember)RM 13,536
72016 (Jan - Jun)RM 12,680
82015 (Julai - Disember)RM 11,831
92015 (Jan - Jun)RM 11,145
102014 (Julai - Disember)RM 11,465
112014 (Jan - Jun)RM 11,650
122013 (Jul - Dis)RM 13,140
132013 (Jan - Jun)RM 14,065
142012RM 13,000
152011RM 10,650
162010RM 9,000
172009RM 7,900
182008RM 6,400
192007RM 6,100
202006RM 4,500
212005RM 4,200
222004RM 3,900
232003RM 3,400
242002RM 2,900
252001RM 2,600
262000RM 3,200

Tuesday, October 13, 2020

 Hampir sepuluh tahun tak update blog ni. Sebagaimana emas, tarikan kepadanya tidak pernah pudar cuma masa membataskan keaktifan blog. Saya masih aktif dengan simpanan emas ini, dan saya percaya anda semua juga begitu. Jom tambah simpanan anda terutama anak-anak anda. Mulakan tabungan mereka dengan emas mulai sekarang.

Mula menyimpan emas

 Gais,


Walaupun harga emas sekarang mencecah harga tertinggi sejak tahun 2011;


Namun penganalisis berpendapat "kenaikan harga emas baru dalam fasa baru ajer bermula"


Ini bermaksud emas akan berada di dalam trend harga menaik untuk jangka masa panjang (2 tahun keatas).


Kesan pandemik covid-19 menyebabkan ekonomi dunia menguncup, pasaran saham jatuh dan ekonomi US berada dalam situasi tidak menentu. Ia sangat bagus untuk emas.


Kemudian, untuk mengatasi masalah ekonomi yang mengucup, kebanyakan negara-negara di seluruh dunia membuat pakej rangsangan ekonomi dengan nilai billion. US sendiri mencetak duit dengan jumlah 2 trillion.


Kesan cetakan duit ini akan dapat dilihat mulai sekarang. Ia akan meningkatkan inflasi seterusnya menaikkan lagi harga emas.


Jika anda baru bermula. Harap anda boleh tersenyum. Emas mempunyai masa yang masih panjang untuk naik.


Kepada anda yang sedang menyimpan emas. Sila konsisten dan istiqamah.


Sekarang masa untuk emas. 


Jika anda baru nak berjinak-jinak dengan emas, maka anda boleh bermula.


#NotaEmasSyukorHashim

Gold in demand despite record price : Saturday, 08 Aug 2020 By SIRA HABIBU

 PETALING JAYA: Malaysians are still flocking to jewellery shops despite the price of gold breaching the US$2,000 (RM8,383) per ounce threshold for the first time in global history this week.

Federation of Goldsmiths and Jewellers’ Associations of Malaysia adviser president Ermin Siow said demand had been bolstered by local retailers, who had been careful not to proportionately increase the gold retail price.

He noted the price of gold had increased by more than 35% this year.

“In fact the gross margins have been reduced to as low as 11% to 12% now, instead of the normal 18% to 20%, ” he said.

He said gold jewellery was being sold between RM270 and RM290 per gram as of yesterday.

“Three months ago the retail price was between RM230 and RM240, ” he said.

Siow said there were brisk sales at outlets in Malay majority areas, especially during the Hari Raya Haji period.

“However, shops in urban areas are not doing as well, ” he added.

SMS Deen Group chief executive officer Mohamad Shaifudeen Mohamed Sirajudeen expected the price of gold to increase if the value of the US dollar drops further.

“Gold price and the US dollar are inversely related. When the US dollar weakens the price of gold tends to go up.

“And as the price of gold has breached US$2,000 per ounce, the sky is the limit now, ” he said.

Shaifudeen, however, cautioned people not to resort to panic buying.

He warned drastic increase in price could also result in a price crash, which happened in 2011.

In July 2011, gold price hit an all-time high of US$1,800 per ounce but dipped to US$1,100 per ounce by December 2015.

"Those who bought gold at the peak lost 40% then, but the price appreciated tremendously over the next few years before hitting all-time high this year," he said.

Shaifudeen said he had also experienced selling gold at a loss because of the volatile market.

“My advice is, don’t resort to panic buying, ” he said.

Shaifudeen said people prefer to buy gold as a form of investment.

“Although the market is volatile, the gold price would continue appreciating in the long run, ” he said.

Shaifudeen said the gold export market was adversely affected because of the Covid-19 pandemic.

“But thanks to social media, we can continue attracting sales by showcasing trending designs.

“We are now targeting the Malay and Indian markets. As the demand will always be there, especially for weddings.

“Even when the price is high, people are still buying.

“Customers can also enjoy a better return when they trade in old jewellery, purchased at a much lower price years ago, ” he said.

Shaifudeen said the moratorium on loan repayments was also helping drive the retail market.

“People are using the extra money to buy gold, among others.

“It is good for the economy when people continue spending, ” he said.

Friday, October 7, 2011

Why Gold Isn’t $2000 yet…

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By: Julian D. W. Phillips, GoldForecaster.com - GoldForecaster.com



http://news.goldseek.com/GoldForecaster/images/specialreport.jpg
The gold price went over $1,900 and looked as though it was going to mount $2,000, but since then has fallen back to $1,600 and is in the process of consolidating around the lower $1,600 area. It was expected that it would have moved a lot higher faster, but that hasn’t happened, yet.
 
In the face of Italy’s downgrade to A2 by the ratings Agency, Moody’s summary that,
 
There has been a profound loss of confidence in certain European sovereign debt markets, and Moody’s considers that this extremely weak market sentiment will likely persist. It is no longer a temporary problem that might be addressed through liquidity support, and several euro-area governments are increasingly affected by the loss of confidence.”
 
The downgrading was expected as are further downgrades for the different Eurozone members. Why shouldn’t the gold price be on its way through $2,000 to higher levels?
 
The ‘Downturn’
 
The news over the last few weeks has sent global financial markets down heavily as a slow recovery morphed into a downturn and, at best, a flat economic future in the developed world. These falls have been accompanied by tremendous worries that there could be a major banking crisis that will cripple the Eurozone economy as a whole, not just the debt-distressed nations. In France, growth is now at zero; in Greece it’s somewhere south of a 5% dip in growth, well into recession. Greater austerity simply adds to the fall in government revenues, defeating their purpose of reducing their deficit. All of this implies an ongoing shrinkage of the Eurozone economy. This hurts investor capacities in all financial markets and wealth throughout the Eurozone. Cash becomes “king” as investors flees markets to a holding position, waiting for much cheaper prices before re-entering markets at lower levels.
 
The path to deflation is then made. Deflation in its early stages causes tremendous de-leveraging. That’s the selling of positions to pay off loans taken to increase positions. It may come about because of investor prudence, banks calling in loans, stop-loss triggers and margin calls (where the level of debt against positions becomes too high and forces sales). This often (and particularly in the case of precious metals) has nothing to do with the fundamentals of the market. It’s simply the position of investors. This happened in the precious metal markets as well. This is why gold and silver prices fell.
 
De-leveraging
 
As was the case in 2008 and often through history, the process of de-leveraging is a short-lived one, even when it’s savage. Downward pressure on prices disappears once an investor has sold the positions. Leveraged positions are the most vulnerable of investor-held positions and can make up the froth or ‘surf’ in the markets, which cause the volatility levels to increase when drama strikes. In 2008, these positions were huge because there had been two and a half decades of burgeoning markets that encouraged greater risk-taking. Since then, while leveraging has taken place, it has been less and rapidly removed when dramas hit.
 
In 2008 we saw a similar drop in prices from $1,200 to $1,000 [20%], which equates to the fall from $1,910 to $1,590 [16.9%]. In 2008, the precious metal prices then slowly rose as buyers started to come in from all over the world. It took over a year for prices to recover back to $1,200.
 
Change in Market Structure
 
Today the shape of the precious metal markets is quite different and particularly that of gold. In 2008, central banks were sellers; today they are buyers. In 2008, the Chinese gold markets were small. Since then they’ve grown to such an extent that they’re soon to overtake India. These are two dynamic features that give demand a totally different shape to 2008. More than that, the impact of the developed world, long-term, has diminished quite considerably. It now represents less than 21% of jewelry, bar, and coin demand. The emerging world, as a whole, represents over 70% of such demand now.
 
The bulk of the world’s physical gold that comes to the market is dealt at the London twice daily Fixings. The balance that’s traded outside the Fixings is the most short-term price influential amounts, producing the swings that resemble the waves on the seashore. It’s these traders and speculators that often persuade long-term buyers to stand back and wait for the prices to swing to the point that persuades them to enter the market. The drop from $1,900 had this effect on investors. Now that the fall has happened, we see a surge in demand from the emerging world to pick up the slack in the market. We’ve no doubt that central banks are buying the dips as well.
 
So once the selling from the developed world has stopped (emerging market demand waits for this before buying, allowing the fall to extend further) in come the buyers happy that they’re entering the market at a good time. Because of this change in market shape, expect the market to take far less time to find its balance and allow demand to dominate.
 
2012 Recession Battle
 
The I.M.F. has just warned that the developed world will enter a recession in 2012. Will that be negative for the gold market? We don’t think so. The world has seen the recovery peter out, the sovereign debt crisis arrive, and now sees the I.M.F. recommend that the Eurozone banks be recapitalized. What does this mean for precious metals?
 
Cast you minds back to the recapitalization of U.S. banks under the TARP measures whereby the Fed bought the toxic debt investments of the banks against fresh money. When we say fresh we mean just that, newly created money in the trillions. This did lower the perceived value of the dollar inside and outside the U.S. The effect on gold was palpable as it rose back through $1,200 and onto new highs.
 
Already we’re hearing rumors of an E.U. government minister’s plan to walk the same or similar road. With the recent past in mind, we’re certain that will lower the perceived value of the euro and see euro investors seek places to cling onto the value of the euro. This time round, expect markets to discount these actions in the same way. The downturn will therefore be fought with new money creation in the same way the U.S. did it from 2008 on.
 
Source: http://news.goldseek.com/GoldForecaster/1317844522.php

Thursday, October 6, 2011

Gold's volatility makes a long term focus more important


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While prices have fallen significantly in recent weeks and volatility continues to rise, David Levenstein looks at what has actually changed, if anything
Author: David Levenstein
Posted:  Tuesday , 04 Oct 2011
JOHANNESBURG - 
As events are constantly changing, sometimes on an hourly basis, it is difficult to keep abreast with the latest issues.  The price of gold can change in an instant, and some of the moves can be substantial. Many of these price changes are becoming a daily occurrence. One day the price is down $50 an ounce and then before you know it, it is back up.
During this phase of volatility, it is important to keep focused on the bigger long-term picture and remind yourself why you own gold bullion. One of the main reasons we invest in precious metals, in particular gold and silver is that they are an alternative to fiat money.  If you believe as I do that the global monetary system is looking precarious and if you have doubts about the solutions suggested by our financial leaders, then it is essential to have a portion of your investment portfolio in gold and silver. Nothing has improved regarding the deteriorating state of our global monetary system, and while the current demand for US dollars is pushing the greenback higher, this cannot be sustained.
In last three weeks the US dollar has gained approximately 7% as measured by the Dollar Index, and during the same time the price of gold has dropped 16%. The reason for this sudden rise of the dollar can be attributed to a move out of global equities, commodities and certain currencies in particular the euro and into the perceived safety of the US dollar. I use the term "perceived safety" because in the long-term there is nothing safe about the US dollar.
As investors panicked when the prices of many assets plunged they simply sold everything, even assets that have medium to long-term growth opportunities. The recent selling of gold was related to panic from hedge funds needing to raise money for redemptions as well as a tightening of margin requirements. This was not selling pressure based on any fundamental change in the global gold market. And, it is important to realise that at times, price discovery has little to do with supply and demand, and has much to do with speculative trades as those transacted on the futures markets, in particular Comex.
Practically the all the trades on Comex are merely leveraged "paper" trades in gold and only a very small percent of all deals ever end in physical delivery.  And, due to the nature of leverage, the volumes can be massive but totally unrelated to the real supply and demand equation. Nevertheless, as the physical spot market and the futures market are linked to each other, the futures market can have a huge impact on the prices in the spot market. Personally, I believe that the sell-off in these futures contracts had a lot to do with the recent price fall in gold. 
When the gold price plummeted on September 23, at one time the price of spot gold was down by $122 an ounce from the daily high of $1750 an ounce. When the US session on Comex closed, spot gold was down $79/oz on the day at $1657/oz. But, what was interesting was the volumes traded on Comex. They were enormous; around 340,000 contracts...roughly equivalent to 25% of the annual production output in one session! None of these contracts will result in delivery and yet these paper trades can have a significant impact on prices. Once the speculative interest has waned and investors realise that the current global monetary crisis is not any better than it was a few weeks ago, I bet that we will see a resurgence of demand for the yellow metal.
We are experiencing the results of half a century of debt-fuelled "growth" that is becoming increasingly difficult to sustain. Banks grew so big that their collapse would have brought down the entire global economy. To prevent this, they were bailed out with huge tranches of public money, which in turn is precipitating social crises on the streets of western nations. The European Union has grown so big, and so unaccountable, that it threatens to collapse in on itself. Corporations have grown so big that they are overwhelming democracies and building a global plutocracy to serve their own interests. But now with the Eurozone debt crisis, US debt, currency wars, poor economic growth, high unemployment, the global monetary system looks increasingly precarious. While the Eurozone sets up an amicable separation from Greece, the euro remains under pressure resulting in a stronger dollar. 
Greece will run out of money to pay salaries and pensions next month unless it receives the next €8bn installment of emergency loans. European officials are scrambling to avert a Greek debt default, which could wreck balance sheets of European banks, send the euro lower and possibly plunge the world into a new global financial crisis.
Then today, Monday October 03, 2011 the Greek government said it won't meet its deficit target this year and agreed to additional austerity measures demanded by international lenders ahead of a meeting of Eurozone finance ministers. Greece's 2011 deficit is now expected to be 8.5% of gross domestic product, falling short of a target of 7.6%. The deficit will be reduced to 6.8% of GDP in 2012, but still short of the 6.5% target.
The Greek finance ministry said the targets will be missed because the nation is suffering a much deeper-than-projected recession. The economy is now expected to contract 5.5% in 2011 compared to the 3.8% contraction projected in June. The news increases the possibility of a delay of the next tranche of bailout funds. It also spooked investors who rushed to sell shares Monday in Asia and Europe.
Frankly, we all know that the situation in Greece is dire and that they have no hope to pay back any of these loans. I believe that despite the political rhetoric of government leaders, the leaders of the Eurozone are setting up for an "orderly" default by Greece due to the impossibility of Greece being able to service an ever expanding debt mountain. While their package will protect the banks from collapsing, it will also necessitate the monetization of the debts of the PIIGS meaning very simply printing more money.  As the value of the euro declines, individuals will look to preserve their savings and turn to gold.
 
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
 
Gold prices are beginning to consolidate above $1600 level after the recent drop. I believe that this period of consolidation will not take more than a few weeks.
Source: http://www.mineweb.com/mineweb/view/mineweb/en/page103855?oid=136820&sn=Detail&pid=102055

What does 15 Trillion looks like?

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Source: http://www.sgtraderclub.com/2011/08/what-does-15-trillion-looks-like.html